Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.191410 0.221704 0.255226 0.295072 0.341153 0.392784 0.455047
2025-08-17 0.137265 0.175939 0.223200 0.285219 0.364514 0.462595 0.593294
2025-08-24 0.114252 0.157050 0.213060 0.291758 0.399605 0.542433 0.746379
2025-08-31 0.096915 0.141043 0.202113 0.292848 0.424434 0.608700 0.887103
2025-09-07 0.084909 0.129829 0.195076 0.296820 0.451791 0.679547 1.040925
2025-09-14 0.073039 0.116723 0.182979 0.290862 0.462556 0.726034 1.162821
2025-09-21 0.064303 0.106992 0.174346 0.288438 0.477437 0.779155 1.299779
2025-09-28 0.058127 0.100398 0.169576 0.291128 0.500107 0.846151 1.465859
2025-10-05 0.055049 0.098468 0.172000 0.305714 0.543743 0.951641 1.708004
2025-10-12 0.051539 0.095281 0.171790 0.315491 0.579832 1.047699 1.944237
2025-10-19 0.048118 0.091785 0.170534 0.323053 0.612489 1.140723 2.184999
2025-10-26 0.044442 0.087337 0.166984 0.325821 0.636327 1.219822 2.408159
2025-11-02 0.040229 0.081448 0.160248 0.322063 0.647919 1.278424 2.601277
2025-11-09 0.035709 0.074425 0.150567 0.311444 0.644907 1.308758 2.742521
2025-11-16 0.033632 0.072084 0.149802 0.318583 0.678315 1.414384 3.049190
2025-11-23 0.031177 0.068645 0.146396 0.319773 0.699353 1.496837 3.316399
2025-11-30 0.029264 0.066130 0.144601 0.324112 0.727439 1.596723 3.632400
2025-12-07 0.026625 0.061697 0.138205 0.317605 0.730911 1.643962 3.836630
2025-12-14 0.024566 0.058332 0.133770 0.314957 0.742668 1.710469 4.092176
2025-12-21 0.023114 0.056204 0.131868 0.317896 0.767567 1.809093 4.434041
2025-12-28 0.022663 0.056403 0.135318 0.333825 0.824903 1.988576 4.990469
2026-01-04 0.021877 0.055691 0.136545 0.344503 0.870700 2.145603 5.509916
2026-01-11 0.020988 0.054619 0.136787 0.352762 0.911409 2.294597 6.026417